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Nagoya Quiz 2004

名古屋オープンのサイドイベントとして杉浦資啓氏出題によるクイズコンテストが 開催されました。優勝は10問全問正解した国嶋元則さんでした。

 

Ploblem1


Ploblem1 Answer
           1. R  bar/17                    Eq.: -0.424
               0.3%   7.3%  42.9%    57.1%  19.6%   0.6%
               Live cube rollout: -0.402
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.268 ±0.025,
                  - live cube: -0.402 ±0.063.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 8884 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  bar/23 8/2                Eq.: -0.583 (-0.159)
               0.3%   7.4%  39.4%    60.6%  21.1%   0.5%
               Live cube rollout: -0.546
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.351 ±0.024,
                  - live cube: -0.546 ±0.049.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 11008 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  bar/23 13/7               Eq.: -1.000 (-0.576)
               0.3%   7.1%  35.7%    64.3%  31.6%   1.6%
               Live cube rollout: -1.000
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.545 ±0.026,
                  - live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 8678 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.

 

Ploblem2


Ploblem2 Answer

           1. R  8/2*                      Eq.: -0.791
               0.8%  16.3%  39.3%    60.7%  34.9%   6.0%
               Live cube rollout: -0.820
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.452 ±0.027,
                  - live cube: -0.820 ±0.063.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 10815 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  6/1* 4/3                  Eq.: -0.938 (-0.147)
               0.5%  15.9%  36.2%    63.8%  34.9%   5.5%
               Live cube rollout: -0.976
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.516 ±0.028,
                  - live cube: -0.976 ±0.068.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9581 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  8/7 6/1*                  Eq.: -1.000 (-0.209)
               0.5%  14.7%  36.8%    63.2%  38.3%   8.8%
               Live cube rollout: -1.000
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.582 ±0.033,
                  - live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 8276 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. R  11/10 6/1*                Eq.: -1.000 (-0.209)
               0.8%  15.2%  37.1%    62.9%  39.0%   9.2%
               Live cube rollout: -1.000
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.580 ±0.035,
                  - live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 8995 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           5. 3  8/3 4/3                   Eq.: -1.000 (-0.209)
               0.7%  11.3%  31.6%    68.4%  31.1%   1.9%

 

Ploblem3


Ploblem3 Answer
           1. R  bar/24 13/12 5/4*(2)      Eq.: -0.255
               0.7%  13.1%  45.7%    54.3%  21.5%   1.1%
               Live cube rollout: -0.189
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.175 ±0.022,
                  - live cube: -0.189 ±0.044.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 14470 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  bar/24 11/10 5/4*(2)      Eq.: -0.425 (-0.170)
               0.4%  11.3%  42.4%    57.6%  24.9%   1.1%
               Live cube rollout: -0.315
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.294 ±0.023,
                  - live cube: -0.315 ±0.052.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 13894 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  bar/24 13/12 11/10(2)     Eq.: -1.000 (-0.745)
               0.6%   7.6%  26.6%    73.4%  41.8%   2.2%
               Live cube rollout: -1.000
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.826 ±0.019,
                  - live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 15327 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. R  bar/24 13/12(2) 12/11     Eq.: -1.000 (-0.745)
               0.3%   7.6%  30.3%    69.7%  32.7%   0.7%
               Live cube rollout: -1.000
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.649 ±0.022,
                  - live cube: -1.000 ±0.000.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 13225 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           5. 3  bar/24 6/5(2) 5/4*        Eq.: -1.000 (-0.745)
               0.3%   7.5%  27.2%    72.8%  40.4%   1.6%

 

Ploblem4


Ploblem4 Answer

          1. R  24/23 15/10               Eq.: -0.414
               0.9%  15.5%  45.0%    55.0%  19.6%   0.9%
               Live cube rollout: -0.424
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.142 ±0.028,
                  - live cube: -0.424 ±0.070.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9548 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  15/10 6/5                 Eq.: -0.813 (-0.399)
               0.8%  13.7%  38.7%    61.3%  21.5%   1.4%
               Live cube rollout: -0.878
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.311 ±0.030,
                  - live cube: -0.878 ±0.080.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 8619 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  13/7                      Eq.: -0.930 (-0.516)
               0.7%  13.9%  37.7%    62.3%  22.5%   1.7%
               Live cube rollout: -0.950
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.343 ±0.036,
                  - live cube: -0.950 ±0.104.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  194 games (equiv. 6260 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. 3  15/9                      Eq.: -0.582 (-0.168)
               1.2%  15.9%  41.4%    58.6%  21.2%   1.6%
           5. 3  24/23 7/2*                Eq.: -0.824 (-0.410)
               1.3%  16.8%  40.7%    59.3%  25.7%   2.6%


 

Ploblem5


Ploblem5 Answer

           1. R  8/4*/3*                   Eq.:  0.226
               0.8%  19.0%  54.9%    45.1%  12.7%   0.7%
               Live cube rollout: 0.281
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.161 ±0.033,
                  - live cube: 0.281 ±0.083.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 7385 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  6/2*/1                    Eq.:  0.092 (-0.134)
               0.8%  16.3%  51.8%    48.2%  13.6%   0.6%
               Live cube rollout: 0.075
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.065 ±0.031,
                  - live cube: 0.075 ±0.077.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 7013 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  24/20 6/5                 Eq.:  0.075 (-0.151)
               0.4%  14.8%  51.3%    48.7%  12.0%   0.4%
               Live cube rollout: 0.057
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.053 ±0.029,
                  - live cube: 0.057 ±0.060.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9037 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. R  11/6                      Eq.:  0.043 (-0.183)
               0.8%  15.6%  50.7%    49.3%  13.6%   0.6%
               Live cube rollout: 0.095
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.036 ±0.027,
                  - live cube: 0.095 ±0.064.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9260 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           5. R  24/20 11/10               Eq.:  0.010 (-0.216)
               0.8%  13.4%  49.8%    50.2%  12.6%   0.3%
               Live cube rollout: 0.034
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.007 ±0.027,
                  - live cube: 0.034 ±0.056.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9284 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
         !Alert! Blunder (0.165) 

 

Ploblem6


Ploblem6 Answer
           1. R  bar/22 13/8               Eq.: -0.402
               0.2%   7.2%  40.4%    59.6%  15.4%   0.3%
               Live cube rollout: -0.376
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.276 ±0.024,
                  - live cube: -0.376 ±0.055.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9582 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  bar/22 6/1                Eq.: -0.481 (-0.079)
               0.2%   8.2%  38.6%    61.4%  18.2%   0.6%
               Live cube rollout: -0.456
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.332 ±0.026,
                  - live cube: -0.456 ±0.061.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 8507 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  bar/20 13/10              Eq.: -0.505 (-0.103)
               0.2%   6.6%  38.6%    61.4%  16.9%   0.3%
               Live cube rollout: -0.499
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.332 ±0.025,
                  - live cube: -0.499 ±0.062.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 7681 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. R  bar/20 6/3                Eq.: -0.522 (-0.120)
               0.3%   7.9%  38.1%    61.9%  19.0%   0.5%
               Live cube rollout: -0.522
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.351 ±0.024,
                  - live cube: -0.522 ±0.044.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9773 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           5. 3  bar/22 8/3                Eq.: -0.571 (-0.169)
               0.4%   8.4%  36.7%    63.3%  22.6%   0.9%
         !Alert! Blunder (0.178) 

 

Ploblem7


Ploblem7 Answer

           1. R  24/22 23/22               Eq.: -0.559
               0.0%   3.4%  22.1%    77.9%  21.1%   0.6%
               Live cube rollout: -0.559
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.742 ±0.019,
                  - live cube: -0.559 ±0.015.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 12225 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  24/22 5/4                 Eq.: -0.676 (-0.117)
               0.1%   3.0%  16.2%    83.8%  29.0%   1.2%
               Live cube rollout: -0.676
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.946 ±0.022,
                  - live cube: -0.676 ±0.016.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 7991 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  24/22 2/1                 Eq.: -0.691 (-0.132)
               0.0%   2.2%  15.4%    84.6%  28.0%   1.6%
               Live cube rollout: -0.691
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.964 ±0.020,
                  - live cube: -0.691 ±0.015.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9245 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. R  23/22 7/5                 Eq.: -0.715 (-0.156)
               0.0%   2.1%  14.3%    85.7%  28.4%   1.4%
               Live cube rollout: -0.715
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.993 ±0.017,
                  - live cube: -0.715 ±0.013.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 11876 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           5. R  24/22 7/6                 Eq.: -0.720 (-0.162)
               0.0%   2.1%  14.0%    86.0%  27.1%   1.2%
               Live cube rollout: -0.720
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.982 ±0.018,
                  - live cube: -0.720 ±0.013.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 10184 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
         !Alert! Blunder (0.917) 

 

Ploblem8


Ploblem8 Answer
           1. R  21/15 9/5                 Eq.:  1.083
               0.8%  48.6%  69.4%    30.6%   4.3%   0.1%
               Live cube rollout: 1.084
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.838 ±0.027,
                  - live cube: 1.084 ±0.056.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9849 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  21/15 6/2                 Eq.:  0.915 (-0.168)
               0.8%  43.3%  66.4%    33.6%   5.4%   0.2%
               Live cube rollout: 0.873
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.712 ±0.026,
                  - live cube: 0.873 ±0.044.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 10752 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  21/11                     Eq.:  0.911 (-0.171)
               0.6%  40.9%  66.2%    33.8%   4.2%   0.2%
               Live cube rollout: 0.839
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.695 ±0.024,
                  - live cube: 0.839 ±0.042.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 12161 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. 3  21/15 5/1                 Eq.: -0.015 (-1.098)
               0.7%  22.8%  44.6%    55.4%  13.3%   0.6%
           5. 3  9/3 9/5                   Eq.: -0.300 (-1.383)
               0.6%  17.5%  39.8%    60.2%   8.5%   0.2%
            

 

Ploblem9


Ploblem9 Answer


           1. R  bar/23 8/2                Eq.: -0.807
               0.5%   9.8%  32.0%    68.0%  25.6%   0.5%
               Live cube rollout: -0.788
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.520 ±0.021,
                  - live cube: -0.788 ±0.044.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 14585 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  settlement 0.550 at 16 pts,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  bar/17                    Eq.: -0.988 (-0.181)
               0.2%   5.7%  29.6%    70.4%  25.1%   0.3%
               Live cube rollout: -0.997
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: -0.602 ±0.019,
                  - live cube: -0.997 ±0.048.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 14167 games),
                  played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
                  settlement 0.550 at 16 pts,
                  seed 1, without race database.
         !Alert! Blunder (0.184) 

 

Ploblem10


Ploblem10 Answer


           1. R  bar/21 13/5* 6/2*         Eq.:  0.364
               1.2%  24.0%  57.4%    42.6%  13.8%   1.1%
               Live cube rollout: 0.360
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.252 ±0.027,
                  - live cube: 0.360 ±0.055.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9516 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           2. R  bar/21 13/9(2) 9/5*       Eq.:  0.151 (-0.213)
               1.1%  18.5%  53.2%    46.8%  13.1%   0.8%
               Live cube rollout: 0.143
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.122 ±0.027,
                  - live cube: 0.143 ±0.059.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 9456 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           3. R  bar/21 13/5* 8/4          Eq.:  0.137 (-0.227)
               1.0%  19.4%  52.4%    47.6%  13.1%   1.0%
               Live cube rollout: 0.136
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.113 ±0.030,
                  - live cube: 0.136 ±0.067.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 7426 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           4. R  bar/21 11/7(2) 6/2*       Eq.:  0.089 (-0.275)
               0.7%  15.3%  51.3%    48.7%  13.0%   0.6%
               Live cube rollout: 0.096
               95% confidence interval:
                  - money cubeless eq.: 0.052 ±0.025,
                  - live cube: 0.096 ±0.052.
               Rollout settings:
                  Full rollout,
                  324 games (equiv. 11176 games),
                  played 3-ply (fast), cube 3-ply,
                  seed 1, without race database.
           5. 3  bar/21 13/9(2) 8/4        Eq.:  0.080 (-0.284)
               0.7%  15.7%  51.6%    48.4%  12.8%   0.6%